Spatio-temporal analysis of the prevalence of dengue in the city of Mossoró/RN between the years 2010 to 2020.
Arbovirus; Aedes aegypti; Public Health; Spatial Statistics; Global Moran Index.
The high prevalence rate of dengue in Rio Grande do Norte has explicitly spread, indicating that frequent episodes of public disease can lead to a collapse of health services. In this sense, this study spatially describes and analyzes the prevalence of reported cases of dengue in the city of Mossoró in the stat e of Rio Grande do Norte between 2010 and 2020, in order to identify priority and vulnerable regions. The first article proposed a time series using the simple generalized linear regression model of Prais-Winsten in the Areas of Demographic Expansion (AED). A significant increase in the number of cases and records of high prevalence rates was observed in practically all AEDs during a time series, or that demonstrates that a large portion of the urban population of the municipality is exposed to dengue. For the second article, spatial autocorrelation techniques of the Univariate Moran Index will be adopted, through the exposure of four scenarios, with territorial analysis units and distinct time periods, in order to obtain results that better represent the reality of the municipality and reach the desired research objectives.